September 15, 2021 3:56 pm
Forecasting the regional fire radiative power for regularly ignited vegetation fires
Tero M. Partanen and Mikhail Sofiev
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-262,2021
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
The presented method aims to forecast regional wildfire emitted radiative power in a time dependent manner several days in advance. The temporal fire radiative power can be converted to an emission production rate, which can be implemented in air quality forecasting simulations. It is shown that in areas with a high incidence of wildfires, the fire radiative power is quite predictable, otherwise it is not.